The Wind of Change
Global markets are being shaped by shifting cycles beneath a noisy geopolitical backdrop. Despite wars, energy shocks, and elevated volatility,
The AAA Report
Robin Griffiths' monthly report. A model-driven business cycle trend-following approach to investing.
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Pilgrim's Progress
February 28th, 2026—mark it down like “Black Monday,” but with more jet fuel. Israel and the U.S. struck,
To be or not to be?
Amid a whirlwind of military threats, royal arrests, court rulings, and tariffs, the AAA Model’s top assets remain unchanged—
Riding The Tiger
With 2025 behind us, the AAA Model proved resilient, shrugging off early wobbles to deliver near-20% gains. In 2026, investors
Ring out the old, Ring in the New
If you hoped 2025 would be calm, we applaud your optimism—it barely lasted past January. Markets danced between panic
Much Ado about Nothing
The AAA Model continues to scout trends, fading fads, and hidden opportunities across a shifting macro landscape. This month, India
The Bull Lives On
The latest AAA Model rankings show investors still in a risk-on mood. Equities are leading the way, credit is holding
They Have Pulled the Lever
The Fed’s first rate cut in over a year marks a cautious shift toward protecting jobs as unemployment edges
The Chairman has spoken
Markets are buzzing as Powell teases rate cuts, sending equities into overdrive while the Fed tiptoes between inflation and jobs.
Beyond the Stars and Stripes
The S&P 500 may be hitting new highs, but beneath the surface lies growing risk: extreme concentration in
Midnight Hammer
A dramatic Israeli strike on Iran, with U.S. backing, has ignited more than just Middle East tensions. It signals
Bonds Big Message
Markets rebounded in May as easing trade tensions reignited global risk appetite. International stocks surged ahead, leaving U.S. equities
